Oakland at NY Giants (-7)
You know you’ve had a bad week as a team when you are a full touchdown underdog against a 2-6 team. That’s the situation the Raiders find themselves in after getting crushed by the previously slumping Eagles at home last week.
Oakland was torched for seven Nick Foles TD passes in the loss, and now heads east to take on another NFC East foe, the Giants.
New York is coming off a bye and has won two straight after a horrid 0-6 start to the season. Tom Coughlin’s Giants teams have specialized in late-season and then post-season runs after struggling for most of the year. So it would be foolish to count them out for 2013 just yet, especially in a division as crappy and still-winnable as the NFC East.
Historical anecdotes aside, the Quality Stats pretty much confirm that what we have here is a matchup between two teams who have combined for just five wins on the season.
Each team has struggled mightily to pass the ball or move the ball effectively in any way, and both play extremely inefficient football.
In recent weeks, however, the Giants have managed to bolster their defensive rankings with a couple of dominant efforts against the Vikings and Eagles.
Ultimately, the Giants, despite having one fewer win than Oakland, grade out as the slightly better team, given their superior defensive stats as well as a six-spot advantage in Passer Rating Differential.
The Giants have won their last two, behind vastly improved play from the defense: just 14 total points allowed in those two victories.
This is a lot of points to give, but the Giants have been playing better of late, and the Raiders also have to make the 3,000-mile trip east, while New York enjoyed last week off and has not traveled farther than a short trip down to Philadelphia in an entire month.
Oakland is 0-3 on the road this year, averaging just 15 PPG. We're rolling with the Giants, but we don't like the game or the number.
Pick: NY Giants 27, Oakland 17