STATS MAN: Even If They Make Playoffs, Title Hopes Dim for Giants

By Timothy Crouse
November 07, 2012 3:32 pm
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Big Ben Nine months after meeting in Super Bowl XLVI, New England and the New York Giants are each in first place in their respective divisions, with a combined record of 11-6 (.647).

Both teams look to be headed to the playoffs, if for no other reason than the lack of other great teams in their divisions.

But since New England won back-to-back Super Bowls in 2003-04, a surprising trend has emerged regarding the playoff success of teams the year after they reach the Super Bowl.

Stat of the week: the 14 teams to play in the Super Bowl between 2004 and 2010 combined to win 3 playoff games the season following their championships.

  • 2010 SB: Green Bay vs. Pittsburgh / 2011 playoffs: both teams went 0-1
  • 2009 SB: New Orleans vs. Indianapolis / 2010 playoffs: both teams went 0-1
  • 2008 SB: Pittsburgh vs. Arizona / 2009 playoffs: PIT missed playoffs & ARI went 1-1
    • Arizona def. Green Bay in wild-card round
  • 2007 SB: NY Giants vs. New England / 2008 playoffs: NY 0-1 & NE missed
  • 2006 SB: Indianapolis vs. Chicago / 2007 playoffs: IND 0-1 & CHI missed
  • 2005 SB: Pittsburgh vs. Seattle / 2006 playoffs: PIT missed & SEA went 1-1
    • Seattle def. Dallas in wild-card round
  • 2004 SB: New England vs. Philadelphia / 2005 playoffs: NE went 1-1 & PHI missed
    • New England def. Jacksonville in wild-card round

To summarize, Super Bowl participants between 2004-10 were a combined 3-9 in the playoffs the year following their trip to the big game (with five teams missing the playoffs altogether).

That’s not a good record of success, and should be a sobering thought for the 2012 New York Giants and New England Patriots.

In the AFC East, the Patriots (5-3) hold a 1-game lead over Miami (4-4), with both head-to-head matchups still to be played (Weeks 13 & 17).  In the NFC East, the Giants (6-3) hold a 2.5-game lead over 3-5 Dallas and Philadelphia; New York has just two division games remaining, and also have a brutal 2-game stretch in Weeks 15 and 16 with road games at Atlanta and Baltimore.

Even if both teams can earn playoff berths, the numbers show that the odds are against them making much of a splash in the NFL’s “second season.”

 

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