NFL Draft 2013: Top 10 Potential Early Round Bust Picks
1) QB Geno Smith, West Virginia
The knock on Geno Smith continues to be his size. He lacks the typical frame for a starting NFL quarterback.
He’s a pocket passer and not a prototypical scrambler per se, which does translate well into Andy Reid’s style of offense.
Also, this presents a huge problem when it comes to his ability to absorb hits and remain uninjured.
Next, his throwing mechanics needs plenty of work, since he slings the ball at a 3/4th cut rather than the traditional overhead throw.
Smith also lacks good side to side agility which casts a major problem in avoiding getting sacked at the next level.
He’s a pocket version of Pat White, slower, less agility, but a stronger arm with an equally small frame. None of these translates to a star in the NFL, one good smack and he could be riding pine for the season.
2) DT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio State
Hankins tends to get off to great starts each season only to falter through the remaining games of the season. Any team selecting him would have to get him conditioned for the next level, he won’t be of any good service to a team by sitting on the bench most of the game clutching the oxygen tank.
His problem isn’t so much physical more than mental; he just loses focus after a good start. Hankins is not one to put pressure on a QB, and the size of offensive lineman at the next level make him the next potential draft day bust.
3) LB Alec Ogletree, Georgia
Ogletree has a history of off the field problems that translate to suspensions. He was suspended in both 2010 and 2011 for off the field issues, one being a theft charge. He also suffer a broken foot and missed half the season last year, and despite a strong returns and finish to the season, foot injuries (mainly broken feet) are the most reoccurring injuries next to knee and back injuries at the next level. His poor attitude and physical limits make him another bust pick.
4) WR Tavon Austin, West Virginia
Austin at 5-9, 175 pounds, has too small of a frame to be anything but a situation player. He doesn’t have great speed to cover returns in the NFL, and his size would equally remove that realm of logic.
He could be utilized in the slot or as a scat back ala Eric Metcalf, but unless he can add beef to his frame before training camp, he won’t see many touches on game day. He does have excellent hands, but one good shot and his days in the NFL could be finished.
5) WR Justin Hunter, Tennessee
Hunter has a good size and frame, and also possesses a great set of hand, which should translate into a phenomenal second day pick. However, the ACL tear he suffered wasn’t the typical type and there a league wide history of players who enter at cutting position re-injuring the knee and never being able to fully produce again as they did in college (See Mario Hardesty for example).
ACL injuries are the most reoccurring injury in the NFL and due to the manner in which he tore the ligament makes him a risky pick in any round before the 3rd or 4th, and makes him a big risk pick on draft day.