1) QB Geno Smith, West Virginia
The knock on Geno Smith continues to be his size. He lacks the typical frame for a starting NFL quarterback.
He’s a pocket passer and not a prototypical scrambler per se, which does translate well into Andy Reid’s style of offense.
Also, this presents a huge problem when it comes to his ability to absorb hits and remain uninjured.
Next, his throwing mechanics needs plenty of work, since he slings the ball at a 3/4th cut rather than the traditional overhead throw.
Smith also lacks good side to side agility which casts a major problem in avoiding getting sacked at the next level.
He’s a pocket version of Pat White, slower, less agility, but a stronger arm with an equally small frame. None of these translates to a star in the NFL, one good smack and he could be riding pine for the season.
2) DT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio State
Hankins tends to get off to great starts each season only to falter through the remaining games of the season. Any team selecting him would have to get him conditioned for the next level, he won’t be of any good service to a team by sitting on the bench most of the game clutching the oxygen tank.
His problem isn’t so much physical more than mental; he just loses focus after a good start. Hankins is not one to put pressure on a QB, and the size of offensive lineman at the next level make him the next potential draft day bust.
3) LB Alec Ogletree, Georgia
Ogletree has a history of off the field problems that translate to suspensions. He was suspended in both 2010 and 2011 for off the field issues, one being a theft charge. He also suffer a broken foot and missed half the season last year, and despite a strong returns and finish to the season, foot injuries (mainly broken feet) are the most reoccurring injuries next to knee and back injuries at the next level. His poor attitude and physical limits make him another bust pick.
4) WR Tavon Austin, West Virginia
Austin at 5-9, 175 pounds, has too small of a frame to be anything but a situation player. He doesn’t have great speed to cover returns in the NFL, and his size would equally remove that realm of logic.
He could be utilized in the slot or as a scat back ala Eric Metcalf, but unless he can add beef to his frame before training camp, he won’t see many touches on game day. He does have excellent hands, but one good shot and his days in the NFL could be finished.
5) WR Justin Hunter, Tennessee
Hunter has a good size and frame, and also possesses a great set of hand, which should translate into a phenomenal second day pick. However, the ACL tear he suffered wasn’t the typical type and there a league wide history of players who enter at cutting position re-injuring the knee and never being able to fully produce again as they did in college (See Mario Hardesty for example).
ACL injuries are the most reoccurring injury in the NFL and due to the manner in which he tore the ligament makes him a risky pick in any round before the 3rd or 4th, and makes him a big risk pick on draft day.
6) QB Matt Barkley, Southern California
The best way to summarize Barkley over the past two seasons is by making the comparison to Matt Leinart. He’s not the tallest player at his position, and this season his field vision proved to be an ongoing issue many noticed in 2011.
His lack of good speed outside the pocket and making errant throws when under pressure in and out of the pocket, doesn’t translate well at the next level. Barkley has a cannon arm but his accuracy is another issue scouts will key in on as he heads into the combines.
His size over is compare to Drew Brees, but his mechanics and tangibles are not in the same area code. Of all the players listed thus far, he has the most potential to be a bust pick.
7) S Bacarri Rambo, Georgia
Rambo has good size and speed, which translates will at the next level. The problem remains his unfortunate level of immaturity off the field. He was suspended four games last season after failing a drug test for marijuana use, and has also been suspended for conduct detrimental to the team.
The type off immature decisions often reoccur early on in the NFL, and unless he grows up between now and training camp, he has rick place over him as a draft pick.
8) DE Tank Carradine, Florida State
Carradine had a very nasty ACL tear last season and is still recovering, moreover, he is likely to miss both the scouting combine and training camp. Entering the regular season fresh off an ACL recovery is not a good decision, and he may never be anything more than a bench depth option in the NFL.
He won’t ever fully posses the explosiveness off the corner that made him a solid addition to the front four pass rush in Tallahassee.
9) QB Landry Jones, Oklahoma
It’s no secret in the NFL that you don’t draft starting QB’s out of the Big 12, as majority have panned out to be draft busts. His throwing decisions will make him a threat to throw more picks than touchdowns, and he doesn’t possess the greatest footwork and is the slowest QB in the Draft.
He gets rattled quickly out of the pocket and doesn’t possess a high amount of patience to look of receivers and throw under pressure, which won’t bode well for him at the next level. Risky pick right up there with Barkely.
10) QB Tyler Bray, Tennessee
Bray is yet another amongst a string of QBs in this Draft that doesn’t possess the tangibles to be more than a contributor at the next level. Bray’s footwork is horrible and it clearly affects his accuracy, which both are needed to reach any sort of success in the NFL.
He is a tall QB, but has very little size to absorb blows in the pocket. Tons of work will be required just for him to be a backup in the NFL and not a third stringer; he has the potential to be a huge bust in this year’s Draft.