Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets
Indianapolis: The Colts come off of a stunning and emotional upset of the Green Bay Packers in Week 5. The question is, with all that emotion from coach Chuck Pagano’s diagnosis poured into a herculean effort to defeat Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, do Andrew Luck and the Colts have anything left in the tank for a vulnerable Jets team?
For sure I think the answer is yes, at least offensively. While the Jets do rank 5th defensively, most of that has to do with the fact the Jets are turnstile against the rush (31st). The Colts lost Donald Brown for a couple of weeks at least, so Vick Ballard will step up and get the call to start at RB. Since that probably isn’t going to result in a great rushing attack, look for Andrew Luck to use the short passing game more as a substitute for the run, and to expose the Jets’ 5th ranked pass defense. Reggie Wayne may have a tough go of it with Antonio Cromartie draped all over him, but the rest of Luck’s weapons should be able to get loose and help him out.
Good Start: QB Andrew Luck, WR Reggie Wayne
Middle of the Road: WR TY Hilton, TE Coby Fleener, TE Dwayne Allen
Bad Start: RB Vick Ballard, WR Donnie Avery
New York: The Jets come off of a hard fought loss on Monday Night Football versus the Texans in Week 5, where at least they were in the game most of the way and never lost their will to fight. This week, they get a dangerous but ultimately beatable young Colts team that the Jets offense can match up well against. The Colts are just a middle of the road defense, ranking 13th against the pass and 17th against the rush; certainly not the buzzsaw defenses the Jets faced the last two weeks in the Texans and 49ers.
Mark Sanchez still has the confidence of the coaching staff, but as the losses pile up, the pressure to change to Tim Tebow may become too great. If Sanchez nets a loss here, I’m thinking in Week 7 we’ll be seeing Tebow get his first start. One weapon that seems to be coming on is Jeremy Kerley, who filled in nicely for the injured Santonio Holmes, catching 5 passes for 94 yards. At only 5’9” Kerley’s not the ideal #1 WR, but the Jets really don’t have much else left. Dustin Keller should make his return from an injury that has kept him sidelined all year, but don’t expect him to all of a sudden be a Jets savior.
Shonn Greene is now splitting carries evenly with Bilal Powell, making both pretty well worthless. Greene was already worthless for fantasy purposes, and the only way Powell becomes worth anything is if he starts getting the majority of carries.
Good Start: WR Jeremy Kerley
Middle of the Road: QB Mark Sanchez
Bad Start: RB Shonn Greene, RB Bilal Powell, WR Stephen Hill, WR Chaz Chilens, TE Dustin Keller