Fantasy Football Week 11 Preview: Jaguars at Texans
Other than a few die-hard Jaguars fans, no one expects Jacksonville to put up much of a challenge this week for a hard-hitting Houston team coming off a big road win in tough conditions.
Still without their star running back, Maurice Jones-Drew, the Jaguars are averaging just 14.1 points per game and have gotten little help from Blaine Gabbert or this year's first-round draft pick, Justin Blackmon.
What you might see is a frustrated Jaguars side ready to boil over, and with the game likely to be out of hand by the half, we could see some tempers begin to flare in a divisional matchup that has been dominated by the Texans in recent years.
Playing against the league’s fifth worst overall rushing defense, you can expect the Texans to do what they do well and run the ball.
While we will see a lot of Arian Foster, don’t be surprised if Matt Schaub takes a few shots down field to keep the Jaguars' defense on their toes.
If you need a replacement this week for Eli Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, or Jay Cutler, you could do worse than Schaub. The Jaguars are allowing 251.7 passing yards per game and he should have Owen Daniels back from injury.
Though limited due to the Texans' heavy use of the run game, 200 yards and two touchdowns is not out of the question.
Let’s face it, you’re pretty much always starting Arian Foster, especially with a cupcake matchup like this.
You can expect at least 140 yards and a touchdown from Foster and perhaps even a little action from Justin Forsett in clean-up duty with Ben Tate ruled out with a nagging hamstring injury earlier this week.
By now, Andre Johnson owners have learned to temper their expectations for the veteran receiver this year but even though he was held to only 35 yards last week, he still had 10 targets in the game. That makes four games in a row of 10 or more targets.
This streak should continue, especially with Owen Daniels possibly limited with a hip injury and it would not be surprising to see Johnson break his touchdown drought this week.
We should see at least 90 yards and a touchdown this week.
Houston’s other receivers get far fewer looks but may see a little more action if Owen Daniels is out or limited this week.
After missing last week’s game with a hip injury, Owen Daniels is expected to play. This is great news for Houston's passing game as the seven-year veteran is second on the team in receptions behind only Johnson.
Daniels may, however, be limited, just as we have seen with other players coming off hip injuries this year such as Philadelphia’s Jeremy Maclin earlier in the season.
The likely scenario would be for him to pick up about 50 yards for the day and while he has scored a touchdown in five of the last six games he has played, the Jaguars are likely to continue their streak of keeping tight ends out of the end zone so far this year.
Garrett Graham may see a few looks but probably not enough to be fantasy relevant this week.
The Texans' defensive unit has proven to be a must start again this year and it wouldn’t be unreasonable to expect them to have a similar game to their week two encounter with the Jaguars when they sacked Gabbert three times, recovered a fumble, and held Jacksonville to just seven points.
Throw in the fact that their four defensive touchdowns have all come at home and you can expect a big day for the Texans' defense.